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Daily Market Wrap

February 12, 2026

12 February 2026
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February 12, 2026

NEWS

  • America : Wall Street closed lower (S&P 500 flat 0.00%, Nasdaq -0.16%, Dow -0.13%) after stronger-than-expected US January employment data (130,000 jobs; unemployment at 4.3%), which reduced the likelihood of a Fed rate cut and pushed the 10-year US Treasury yield up to 4.17%. Investors are now awaiting the release of US inflation (CPI) data to determine the direction of the next monetary policy.
  • Europe: European markets strengthened, with the STOXX 600 rising 0.1% and setting a new record, driven by gains in energy and commodity stocks that offset weakness in the technology and financial sectors.
  • Asia : Asian markets strengthened (Hang Seng +0.31%, China SSE +0.09%, KOSPI +1.00%), driven by funds flowing into the technology sector and expectations of regional stimulus. China's inflation slowed to 0.2% with PPI still in deflation, indicating weak domestic demand. The Nikkei 225 previously hit a record high after Sanae Takaichi's victory, but today's gains were limited due to the National Foundation Day holiday.

MARKET UPDATE

  • The JCI rebounded to 8,290 (+1.96%), supported by foreign net buying in large banking stocks and a stable rupiah. Although it is still down 7.23% on a monthly basis due to the MSCI/FTSE delay, foreign outflows, and external risks (potential EU sanctions), domestic sentiment has improved thanks to a fiscal stimulus of IDR 12.83 trillion, expectations of seasonal consumption in 1Q26, as well as the IDX's transparency measures and 15% free float target, which are beginning to restore confidence and refocus the market on issuer fundamentals.
  • Bond market: The 10-year SUN yield fell to 6.42% triggered by Moody's negative outlook revision and foreign outflows amid fiscal concerns and rupiah volatility. However, bond demand remains quite strong thanks to expectations of global interest rate cuts, so yields are projected to be relatively stable.


Source : Bloomberg, Infovesta

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This document was prepared by PT KB Valbury Asset Management based on information from reliable sources. PT KB Valbury Asset Management does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the information and materials provided. PT KB Valbury Asset Management Indonesia is not responsible for any legal and financial consequences arising from actions taken based on this document, whether suffered by any person or party.