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Weekly Insight

Confidence at Highs

19 January 2026
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Confidence at Highs

Global Markets

The US stock market closed the week weaker but consolidated, even though the DJIA and S&P 500 hit record highs, supported by big bank earnings and a solid labor market (unemployment at 4.4%). Volatility increased due to Fed issues, while the AI rally and strengthening gold/silver kept risk appetite in wait-and-see mode. Next week is expected to be volatile with a cautiously optimistic bias, focusing on US PCE inflation, Flash PMI, consumer spending, continued Q4 earnings, and China's Q4 GDP. Globally, attention is on the World Economic Forum, ECB minutes, IEA oil report, and BoJ decisions with the sustainability of the rally remaining heavily dependent on corporate earnings strength.


Indonesian Markets

Last week, the Indonesian market recorded a historic moment with the stock index breaking its highest record, driven by domestic optimism and a global commodity rally, despite increased volatility due to geopolitical sentiment. Next week, the market is expected to consolidate, with a focus on Bank Indonesia's RDG regarding interest rate direction and Danantara's debut at the WEF Davos to attract global investment. Meanwhile, bonds and the Rupiah are likely to remain defensive as the US dollar strengthens, making selective buying strategies still relevant given the high level of short-term volatility.


Weekly Highlight on Economic Indicators


Our Take:

The JCI and IDX market capitalization hit an all-time high (9,075 (+1,55% WoW); IDR 16,512 trillion), supported by foreign net buying of more than IDR 3 trillion despite the weak rupiah, confirming confidence in domestic equities. The JCI is likely to consolidate with limited bullish bias after reaching an ATH, being selective with short-term profit-taking risks, while the direction is determined by the sustainability of foreign inflows, issuers' earnings expectations, as well as global volatility and rupiah movements.

Investment recommendations for our investors (in order of preference):
Equity Fund > Fixed Income Fund > Balanced Fund > Money Market Fund


Author : KBVAM Investment Team

Source: Bloomberg, Infovesta, Trading Economics

DISCLAIMER :
INVESTMENT THROUGH MUTUAL FUNDS CONTAINS RISKS. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE PROSPECTUS BEFORE DECIDING TO INVEST THROUGH MUTUAL FUNDS. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT REFLECT FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

This document was prepared based on information from reliable sources by PT KB Valbury Asset Management. PT KB Valbury Asset Management does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the information and materials provided. PT KB Valbury Asset Management Indonesia is not responsible for any legal and financial consequences arising, whether against or suffered by any person or party and in any way deemed to be a result of actions taken on the basis of all or part of this document.