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Weekly Insight

Fragile Consolidation

11 May 2026
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Fragile Consolidation



Global Markets

Global markets closed higher last week on the back of solid U.S. jobs data, strong earnings reports from the tech and AI sectors, and easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Optimism regarding the U.S. economy is sustaining positive market sentiment, even as the Fed remains inclined to keep interest rates high for longer. Looking ahead to next week, investor focus is on U.S. inflation data (CPI and PPI), Retail Sales, and the Trump–Xi meeting, which could potentially influence the direction of global markets.


Indonesian Markets

Indonesia’s financial markets were volatile and generally mixed last week. Positive sentiment from solid Q1-2026 economic growth of 5.61% year-over-year briefly supported the market, but global pressures stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, rising oil prices, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and expectations of high Fed interest rates triggered foreign outflows, a weakening rupiah, and pressure on the JCI and bonds. Looking ahead, the market is expected to remain range-bound with high volatility, influenced by the direction of US inflation, US Treasury yields, rupiah stability, and the results of the MSCI Review. Although domestic fundamentals remain strong, investors are advised to focus on defensive sectors.


Weekly Highlight on Economic Indicators


Our Take:

JCI increased 0.18% WoW to 6,969, driven by bargain hunting and foreign inflows, but came under pressure toward the end of the week due to negative global sentiment, a weaker rupiah, and a correction in commodity stocks. IDX trading volume increased 23.57% to 45.86 billion shares, while external pressures kept the JCI moving in a consolidative and volatile manner amid sensitivity to foreign capital flows, the rupiah, geopolitics, and the MSCI review.

Investment recommendations for our investors (in order of preference):
Fixed Income Fund > Money Market Fund > Balanced Fund > Equity Fund


Author : KBVAM Investment Team

Source: Bloomberg, Infovesta, Trading Economics

DISCLAIMER :
INVESTMENT THROUGH MUTUAL FUNDS CONTAINS RISKS. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE PROSPECTUS BEFORE DECIDING TO INVEST THROUGH MUTUAL FUNDS. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT REFLECT FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

This document was prepared based on information from reliable sources by PT KB Valbury Asset Management. PT KB Valbury Asset Management does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the information and materials provided. PT KB Valbury Asset Management Indonesia is not responsible for any legal and financial consequences arising, whether against or suffered by any person or party and in any way deemed to be a result of actions taken on the basis of all or part of this document.