aboutNews

Weekly Insight

Cautious Consolidation

06 April 2026
  • download
Cautious Consolidation



Global Markets

Global markets rebounded last week after five weeks of declines but remain volatile, driven by expectations of a de-escalation in the U.S.–Iran conflict (particularly regarding the stabilization of the Strait of Hormuz), which reduced energy risk premiums. However, the rally was largely a relief rally, as oil prices remain high and inflation risks have not subsided. Next week, markets are likely to remain volatile and wait-and-see, with a focus on the realization of geopolitical de-escalation as well as the release of CPI/PCE data and the FOMC Minutes, which will determine the direction of the Fed’s higher for longer policy and global equity valuations.


Indonesian Markets

Indonesia’s stock market was volatile and weakened last week due to global risk-off sentiment, high oil prices, and foreign net selling in the banking sector, with additional pressure from a decline in the PMI. The bond market remained relatively stable, and reforms by the IDX, OJK, and KSEI provided a positive sentiment. Next week, the market is expected to remain volatile and cautious, with a focus on domestic data and the dividend season amid risks related to U.S. inflation and geopolitical tensions.


Weekly Highlight on Economic Indicators


Our Take:

JCI dropped 0.99% week-over-week to 7,026 amid volatile trading, with the midweek rebound offset by a correction at the end of the period. The decline was driven by global risk-off sentiment, geopolitical tensions, and net foreign selling, exacerbated by the weakening rupiah and domestic concerns. Daily transaction volume fell 36.69%, reflecting investor caution and keeping the JCI in a consolidation phase.

Investment recommendations for our investors (in order of preference):
Fixed Income Fund > Money Market Fund > Balanced Fund > Equity Fund


Author : KBVAM Investment Team

Source: Bloomberg, Infovesta, Trading Economics

DISCLAIMER :
INVESTMENT THROUGH MUTUAL FUNDS CONTAINS RISKS. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS MUST READ AND UNDERSTAND THE PROSPECTUS BEFORE DECIDING TO INVEST THROUGH MUTUAL FUNDS. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT REFLECT FUTURE PERFORMANCE.

This document was prepared based on information from reliable sources by PT KB Valbury Asset Management. PT KB Valbury Asset Management does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the information and materials provided. PT KB Valbury Asset Management Indonesia is not responsible for any legal and financial consequences arising, whether against or suffered by any person or party and in any way deemed to be a result of actions taken on the basis of all or part of this document.