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Daily Market Wrap

March 4, 2026

04 March 2026
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March 4, 2026

NEWS

  • America : Wall Street declined (S&P 500 -0.94%, Nasdaq -1.02%, Dow -0.83%) following the escalation of the US–Iran conflict, which triggered a surge in oil prices and heightened inflation concerns. This pushed markets into a risk-off sentiment. The UST 10-year yield rose to 4.06% as markets became more focused on inflation risks, reducing the dominance of bonds’ safe-haven function and further delaying expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
  • Asia :  Asian markets weakened (Nikkei -3.06%, KOSPI -7.24%, China SSE -1.43%, Hang Seng -1.12%), tracking global pressure from escalating geopolitical tensions that drove oil prices higher and reinforced risk-off sentiment. Capital flows shifted toward safe-haven assets, while investors also monitored China’s Two Sessions policy meetings.

MARKET UPDATE

  • The JCI declined 0.96% to 7,939, driven by the escalation of the US/Israel conflict with Iran, which triggered risk-off sentiment and a surge in oil prices. The pressure was further compounded by inflation at 4.76% YoY and foreign outflows, with deeper declines led by energy and mining stocks. Transaction value remained high at around IDR 29.8 trillion, reflecting dominant selling pressure, while the Financial Services Authority (OJK) remained on alert to maintain market stability and preserve investor confidence.
  • Bond market: The 10-year Indonesian government bond (SUN) yield rose to 6.52%, driven by global risk-off sentiment following the escalation in the Middle East, which increased the risk premium for emerging markets. Pressure also came from domestic inflation, foreign outflows, and anticipation of policy decisions from the Fed and Bank Indonesia amid fiscal deficit concerns. Weak auction demand indicates that bond market sentiment remains cautious with elevated volatility.


Source : Bloomberg, Infovesta

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This document was prepared by PT KB Valbury Asset Management based on information from reliable sources. PT KB Valbury Asset Management does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the information and materials provided. PT KB Valbury Asset Management Indonesia is not responsible for any legal and financial consequences arising from actions taken based on this document, whether suffered by any person or party.